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Bronx, NY Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (10469)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Bronx, NY (10469) — 29 actives, 5 Verified / 21 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=53 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Bronx, NY (10469) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=53 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 29 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 3.3 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 8.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 21 Modeled / 3 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-08-01T06:25:33Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-08-01T06:25:33Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
3.3 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 29 ÷ (53 ÷ 6) = 29 ÷ 8.8

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 53 actives 29

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 53 / 6 = 8.8 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -44.0%med -31.6%p75 -15.7%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 3.3 mo

sold_6m 53 · actives 29 · High confidence

53 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

29

Verified 5 · Modeled 21 · Unscored 3

Median Verified margin

-31.65%

p25 -43.97% · p75 -15.74% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$69.69/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

48.4

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

17.2% Verified

Modeled 72.4% · Unscored 10.3%

List → ARV discount

-20.79%

Deep share 0.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$150–$200/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

29 shown of 29 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $690,000 · mix V5/M24/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 10469. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$599,9992.2% V49Verified

Bronx, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$687,0001.6% V49Verified

Bronx, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$710,0001.3% V48Verified

Bronx, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$685,0001.3% V48Verified

Bronx, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$745,0000.8% V48Verified

Bronx, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M53Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$395,0007.5% M53Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$600,0002.2% M49Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,9992.1% M49Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$635,0001.8% M49Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$690,0001.7% M49Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$536,0001.5% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,0001.3% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$719,0001.3% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$724,9991.2% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$798,0001.1% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$565,0001.0% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,0000.8% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$670,0000.6% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,0000.6% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$660,0000.4% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$770,0000.4% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,9990.3% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,0000.1% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$725,0000.0% M48Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$779,000-0.2% M—ModeledNeg margin

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$765,000——Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,999——Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,900——Modeled

Bronx, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

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