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Lawrenceville, GA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (30044)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Lawrenceville, GA (30044) — 201 actives, 0 Verified / 31 Modeled. Absorption: Elevated supply / slow absorption; sold_6m=159 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Lawrenceville, GA (30044) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=159 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 201 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 7.6 mo (Elevated supply / slow absorption; velocity ≈ 26.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 31 Modeled / 170 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=31) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-31T06:33:58Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-31T06:33:58Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
7.6 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 201 ÷ (159 ÷ 6) = 201 ÷ 26.5

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 159 actives 201

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 159 / 6 = 26.5 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 31 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Elevated supply / slow absorption

MOS 7.6 mo

sold_6m 159 · actives 201 · High confidence

159 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

201

Verified 0 · Modeled 31 · Unscored 170

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=31 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 15.4% · Unscored 84.6%

List → ARV discount

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Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 201 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $405,025 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 30044. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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Open brief$391,7907.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$390,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$389,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$369,9907.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$365,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$362,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$359,9007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$325,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$325,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$319,9007.5% M53Modeled

Lawrenceville, GA · Modeled listing

Open brief$230,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$230,0007.5% M53Modeled

Lawrenceville, GA · Modeled listing

Open brief$369,990——Modeled

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Lawrenceville, GA · Modeled listing

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Open brief$649,000——Modeled

Lawrenceville, GA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,000——Modeled

Lawrenceville, GA · Modeled listing

Open brief$593,751——Modeled

Lawrenceville, GA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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