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Naples, FL Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (34102)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Naples, FL (34102) — 60 actives, 1 Verified / 47 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=135 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Naples, FL (34102) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=135 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 60 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 2.7 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 22.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 1 Verified / 47 Modeled / 12 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +1.4% (n=39) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:33:21Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-30T06:33:21Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
2.7 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 60 ÷ (135 ÷ 6) = 60 ÷ 22.5

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 135 actives 60

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 135 / 6 = 22.5 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 1.

Modeled actives: 47 · Median Modeled ask margin: +1.4% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 2.7 mo

sold_6m 135 · actives 60 · High confidence

135 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

60

Verified 1 · Modeled 47 · Unscored 12

Median Modeled margin

1.4%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=39 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

1.7% Verified

Modeled 78.3% · Unscored 20.0%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Only 0 Verified listings with ARV (need ≥3) — Hard Reject rate withheld. · Apex Score withheld — only 0 meaningfully-scored Verified listings (need ≥3); UI shows N/A, never a fake 0.0. · Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 60 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $649,900 · mix V1/M39/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 34102. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$425,0005.0% V51Verified

Naples, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$540,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,9957.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$440,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$429,9007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$385,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$375,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$350,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$350,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$329,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$305,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,9007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,9007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$570,0007.5% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$579,9007.3% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$510,0007.3% M53Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$589,0001.9% M49Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$619,0001.9% M49Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,9001.6% M49Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$665,0001.4% M48Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$669,0001.4% M48Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,0001.1% M48Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,9000.8% M48Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,0000.7% M48Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,9000.3% M48Modeled

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$998,800-0.5% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$1,290,000-1.2% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$3,695,000-3.3% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$3,950,000-3.6% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$4,900,000-3.8% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$9,900,000-4.2% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$12,495,000-4.3% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$17,995,000-4.4% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$12,995,000-4.4% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$33,500,000-4.5% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$18,500,000-4.5% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$17,499,000-4.5% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$38,500,000-4.6% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$29,950,000-4.7% M—ModeledNeg margin

Naples, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — no Verified invest-tier listings clear Hard Reject at ask.

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