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Union City, NJ Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (07087)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Union City, NJ (07087) — 94 actives, 0 Verified / 23 Modeled. Absorption: Elevated supply / slow absorption; sold_6m=72 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Union City, NJ (07087) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=72 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 94 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 7.8 mo (Elevated supply / slow absorption; velocity ≈ 12.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 23 Modeled / 71 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +1.0% (n=23) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-29T06:32:55Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-29T06:32:55Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
7.8 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 94 ÷ (72 ÷ 6) = 94 ÷ 12.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 72 actives 94

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 72 / 6 = 12.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 23 · Median Modeled ask margin: +1.0% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Elevated supply / slow absorption

MOS 7.8 mo

sold_6m 72 · actives 94 · High confidence

72 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

94

Verified 0 · Modeled 23 · Unscored 71

Median Modeled margin

1.0%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=23 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 24.5% · Unscored 75.5%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 94 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $479,000 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 07087. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$395,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$319,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$249,9997.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$399,0007.2% M53Modeled

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Open brief$410,0001.9% M49Modeled

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Open brief$419,0001.9% M49Modeled

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Open brief$529,0001.8% M49Modeled

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Open brief$439,0001.6% M49Modeled

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Open brief$450,0001.4% M48Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$490,0001.0% M48Modeled

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Open brief$479,0001.0% M48Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,0000.9% M48Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$519,9000.7% M48Modeled

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Open brief$535,0000.6% M48Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,0000.5% M48Modeled

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Open brief$639,0000.5% M48Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$549,0000.3% M48Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,0000.2% M48Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$629,000-0.2% M—ModeledNeg margin

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$635,000-0.6% M—ModeledNeg margin

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,000-0.9% M—ModeledNeg margin

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$575,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$659,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$325,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$450,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$380,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$660,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$585,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$479,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$270,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$395,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$345,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$455,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$440,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$360,000——Modeled

Union City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

Neighboring Corridors

Analyzing adjacent investment corridors? Track live margins in North Bergen, NJ (07047) and Hoboken, NJ (07030).

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · New Jersey Goldmines

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