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Jersey City, NJ Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (07302)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Jersey City, NJ (07302) — 109 actives, 30 Verified / 76 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=27 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Jersey City, NJ (07302) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=27 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 109 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 24.2 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 4.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 30 Verified / 76 Modeled / 3 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-29T06:36:59Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-29T06:36:59Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
24.2 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 109 ÷ (27 ÷ 6) = 109 ÷ 4.5

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 27 actives 109

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 27 / 6 = 4.5 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -34.1%med -24.6%p75 -11.4%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=29 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 29 / 29

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 24.2 mo

sold_6m 27 · actives 109 · High confidence

27 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

109

Verified 30 · Modeled 76 · Unscored 3

Median Verified margin

-24.59%

p25 -34.13% · p75 -11.41% · n=29

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$267.02/sqft · n=7
T3$267.02/sqft · n=16
T4$47.47/sqft · n=6

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

38.7

Hot 0.0% · n=23

Trajectory

Declining

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

27.5% Verified

Modeled 69.7% · Unscored 2.8%

List → ARV discount

7.02%

Deep share 6.9% · n=29

Hold bleed pressure

$200–$250/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 109 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $554,500 · mix V25/M15/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 07302. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$439,00029.2% V45VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$535,00027.0% V30VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$630,00021.5% V26VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$399,00017.2% V40Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$419,00016.9% V47Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$710,00013.1% V36Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$599,00012.9% V46Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$699,00012.8% V40Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$660,00012.5% V44Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$659,00012.1% V44Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$599,99911.7% V33Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$685,00011.7% V43Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$515,00011.3% V36Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$659,00011.1% V42Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$649,00011.0% V38Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$525,00010.3% V34Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$700,0009.1% V42Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$695,0008.9% V34Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$738,0008.7% V38Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$749,0008.4% V39Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$789,0008.1% V39Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$790,0008.1% V18Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$788,0007.8% V26Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$325,0000.0% V—Verified

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$685,000-0.4% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Jersey City, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M43Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M43Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$440,0007.3% M43Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,0003.0% M40Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$439,0002.9% M40Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,0002.2% M39Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$489,0001.6% M39Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,0001.3% M48Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$670,0001.3% M38Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$515,0001.2% M38Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$515,0001.2% M38Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$540,0001.1% M38Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,0001.1% M38Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$528,0001.1% M38Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$569,0000.9% M38Modeled

Jersey City, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

Neighboring Corridors

Analyzing adjacent investment corridors? Track live margins in ZIP 07304 (07304) and Journal Square, NJ (07306).

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · New Jersey Goldmines

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