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Scottsdale, AZ Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (85254)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Scottsdale, AZ (85254) — 65 actives, 0 Verified / 12 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=174 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Scottsdale, AZ (85254) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=174 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 65 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 2.2 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 29.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 12 Modeled / 53 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +4.8% (n=12) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:25:02Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-30T06:25:02Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
2.2 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 65 ÷ (174 ÷ 6) = 65 ÷ 29.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 174 actives 65

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 174 / 6 = 29.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 12 · Median Modeled ask margin: +4.8% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 2.2 mo

sold_6m 174 · actives 65 · High confidence

174 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

65

Verified 0 · Modeled 12 · Unscored 53

Median Modeled margin

4.8%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=12 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 18.5% · Unscored 81.5%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 65 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $629,950 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 85254. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$488,9007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$445,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$322,9507.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$299,9007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$635,0002.1% M49Modeled

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Open brief$630,0001.9% M49Modeled

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Open brief$649,0001.7% M49Modeled

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Open brief$675,0001.5% M48Modeled

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Open brief$749,5000.8% M48Modeled

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Open brief$799,9990.8% M48Modeled

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Open brief$685,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$654,000——Modeled

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Open brief$279,900——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$629,900——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$378,500——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$305,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$645,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$625,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$690,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$320,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$739,900——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$595,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$334,900——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$739,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$350,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$309,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$347,200——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$665,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$675,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$415,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$323,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$345,900——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$625,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$765,000——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,999——Modeled

Scottsdale, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

Neighboring Corridors

Analyzing adjacent investment corridors? Track live margins in ZIP 85251 (85251) and ZIP 89101 (89101).

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Arizona Goldmines

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