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Tucson, AZ Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (85719)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Tucson, AZ (85719) — 101 actives, 5 Verified / 29 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=183 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Tucson, AZ (85719) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=183 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 101 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 3.3 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 30.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 29 Modeled / 67 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:11:44Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-28T06:11:44Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
3.3 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 101 ÷ (183 ÷ 6) = 101 ÷ 30.5

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 183 actives 101

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 183 / 6 = 30.5 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -53.5%med -34.7%p75 -17.3%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 3.3 mo

sold_6m 183 · actives 101 · High confidence

183 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

101

Verified 5 · Modeled 29 · Unscored 67

Median Verified margin

-34.71%

p25 -53.53% · p75 -17.3% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$51.7/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

49.9

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

5.0% Verified

Modeled 28.7% · Unscored 66.3%

List → ARV discount

-27.24%

Deep share 0.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$150–$200/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 101 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $337,500 · mix V5/M35/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 85719. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$279,0009.9% V54Verified

Tucson, AZ · Verified listing

Open brief$380,0006.3% V52Verified

Tucson, AZ · Verified listing

Open brief$550,0003.5% V50Verified

Tucson, AZ · Verified listing

Open brief$599,0002.6% V49Verified

Tucson, AZ · Verified listing

Open brief$725,0001.6% V49Verified

Tucson, AZ · Verified listing

Open brief$625,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$500,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$439,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$435,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$415,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$365,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$365,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$355,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,5007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$345,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$325,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$309,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$305,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$292,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$289,5007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$269,5007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$255,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$237,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$225,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$210,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$158,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$130,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$98,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$579,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$625,0002.1% M49Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,0002.0% M49Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$798,0000.9% M48Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$225,000——Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$267,999——Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$241,900——Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$330,000——Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$240,000——Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief$245,000——Modeled

Tucson, AZ · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

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