Absorption / MOS
Balanced absorption
MOS 5.1 mo
sold_6m 185 · actives 157 · High confidence
185 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Tempe, AZ Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (85282)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Tempe, AZ (85282) — 157 actives, 5 Verified / 34 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=185 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Tempe, AZ (85282) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=185 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 157 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 5.1 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 30.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 34 Modeled / 118 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-28T06:10:22Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-28T06:10:22Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 157 ÷ (185 ÷ 6) = 157 ÷ 30.8
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 185 / 6 = 30.8 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
157
Verified 5 · Modeled 34 · Unscored 118
Median Verified margin
-30.15%
p25 -43.76% · p75 -3.01% · n=5
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$44.36/sqft · n=5
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
50.5
Hot 0.0% · n=5
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
3.2% Verified
Modeled 21.7% · Unscored 75.2%
List → ARV discount
-12.87%
Deep share 20.0% · n=5
Hold bleed pressure
$100–$150/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 157 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $390,000 · mix V5/M35/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 85282. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$249,90011.8% V56VerifiedTempe, AZ · Verified listing
Open brief
$415,0006.5% V52VerifiedTempe, AZ · Verified listing
Open brief
$490,0004.4% V50VerifiedTempe, AZ · Verified listing
Open brief
$615,0002.8% V50VerifiedTempe, AZ · Verified listing
Open brief
$700,0001.7% V49VerifiedTempe, AZ · Verified listing
Open brief
$725,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$629,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$539,9007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$539,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$519,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$480,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$479,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$479,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$450,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$449,9007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$449,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$400,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$380,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$375,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$365,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$345,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$340,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$329,9007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$325,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$324,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$315,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$309,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$299,9007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$287,9907.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$200,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$194,9007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$194,5007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$184,0007.5% M53ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$269,9006.5% M52ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$179,9006.5% M52ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$640,0001.8% M49ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$739,0001.7% M49ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
Open brief
$259,000——ModeledTempe, AZ · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Arizona Goldmines