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Lakewood, NJ Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (08701)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Lakewood, NJ (08701) — 248 actives, 33 Verified / 190 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=28 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Lakewood, NJ (08701) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=28 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 248 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 53.1 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 4.7 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 33 Verified / 190 Modeled / 25 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:45:36Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:45:36Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
53.1 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 248 ÷ (28 ÷ 6) = 248 ÷ 4.7

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 28 actives 248

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 28 / 6 = 4.7 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -44.9%med -21.0%p75 -10.2%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=33 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 33 / 33

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 53.1 mo

sold_6m 28 · actives 248 · High confidence

28 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

248

Verified 33 · Modeled 190 · Unscored 25

Median Verified margin

-21.01%

p25 -44.91% · p75 -10.16% · n=33

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$51.75/sqft · n=15
T3$51.75/sqft · n=18

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

35.2

Hot 0.0% · n=28

Trajectory

Declining

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

13.3% Verified

Modeled 76.6% · Unscored 10.1%

List → ARV discount

-1.54%

Deep share 15.2% · n=33

Hold bleed pressure

$100–$150/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 248 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $437,000 · mix V14/M26/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 08701. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$329,90011.3% V36Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$270,00011.3% V47Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$264,0008.4% V32Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$338,0008.0% V46Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$415,0007.9% V42Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$299,9007.2% V36Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$635,0006.8% V36Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$379,9006.6% V31Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$550,0005.0% V32Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$500,0004.1% V40Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$549,0004.0% V31Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$549,9003.8% V34Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$500,0003.8% V31Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$719,0003.4% V34Verified

Lakewood, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$749,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$675,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$545,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$490,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$489,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$489,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$479,9007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$459,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$406,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$405,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$389,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$370,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$370,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$370,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$360,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$359,0007.5% M43Modeled

Lakewood, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

Neighboring Corridors

Analyzing adjacent investment corridors? Track live margins in Freehold, NJ (07728) and North Brunswick, NJ (08902).

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · New Jersey Goldmines

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